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Video: Video: Stock Market Forecasts

Analysts make often gloomy forecasts about short-term expected returns and economic conditions in the stock market. There are two big problems with these forecasts: they often make investors nervous, and they are usually wrong. Sources in this episode: - Do Financial Gurus Produce Reliable Forecasts? http://bit.ly/2sTOaQt - Inverted Yield Curves and Expected Stock Returns http://bit.ly/2RFFXrm - Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation and Implications – The 2019 Edition https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3378246 - An Old Friend: The Stock Market's Shiller P/E https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Research/White-Papers/An-Old-Friend-The-Stock-Markets-Shiller-PE - Market Timing: Sin a Little https://www.aqr.com/-/media/AQR/Documents/Insights/White-Papers/Market-Timing-Sin-a-Little.pdf ------------------ Follow Ben Felix on - Twitter: https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix - LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Visit Rational Reminder: https://rationalreminder.ca/ Follow the Rational Reminder on: - Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/RationalRemind Visit PWL Capital: https://www.pwlcapital.com/teams/passmore-felix/ Follow PWL Capital on: - Twitter: https://twitter.com/PWLCapital - Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PWLCapital - LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/pwl-capital/ You can find the Rational Reminder podcast on Google Podcasts: https://www.google.com/podcasts?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9yYXRpb25hbHJlbWluZGVyLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz Apple Podcasts: https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582?mt=2 Spotify Podcasts: https://open.spotify.com/show/6RHWTH9iW7hdnA7eAg7ukO?si=hjZNfLKuSjSeWX38GPqhVA ------------------
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Stock Market Forecasts